Measuring What Matters
A Program’s Financial Health
Abstract
The economic analysis of academic program financial health lives at the intersection of microeconomics, higher education finance, and institutional research practice. Yet with the growing pressure on universities to demonstrate the financial sustainability of their programs, the theoretical and analytical literature on this remains sparse, and there hasn’t been significant guidance that has matched the institutional complexity found across the higher ed landscape.
This paper develops a unified conceptual and methodological framework for evaluating program-level profitability — or, more precisely, program-level contribution margin — across undergraduate, graduate, and professional degree programs at three hypothetical archetypal institutional types: a large public research university (Greenfield State), a highly tuition-dependent private business school (Meridian Business University), and a small endowment-wealthy liberal arts college (Harrington College).
Drawing on the economics of multi-product firms, marginal cost theory, and the growing literature on higher education finance and program evaluation, the paper argues that the institutional practice of treating all programs as equivalent to their cost centers is analytically insufficient and misleading. A framework grounded in marginal analysis, combined with the accounting of fixed cost subsidization and spillovers, provides a more thorough and justifiable basis for institutional decision-making. Institutional researchers will find this paper useful as a conceptual foundation and starting point.
Downloads
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Measuring What Matters: A Program’s Financial Health Working paper · AIR Forum 2026 version · PDF
Data
The analysis uses program-level institutional data paired with IPEDS, National Student Clearinghouse, and NACUBO financial survey data across three hypothetical institutional archetypes. The underlying dataset will be posted here once finalized.
Status
Dataset forthcoming.
Citation